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Strategic optionality but valuation full
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Strategic optionality but valuation full
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Cirsa
Credit Analysis
Adding the €31s and €32s at Marketweight, post rally 23 July 2026
We refresh our views of gaming company Cirsa, following its Jul-26 refinancing. We add High Yield Credit
Cirsa’s €31s and €32s secureds at Marketweight (MW). The €31s have outperformed Spain
€BBs by c. 30bps since May, following the company’s upgrade to Ba3. Spreads are just c. Gaming
20bps from one notch higher-rated peer Lottomatica. We see these as fair, considering Stephanie Vincent, CFA
Cirsa’s lower (but growing) exposure to online, its PE majority owner and its clear Research Analyst
appetite for bolt-on (and potentially larger) M&A. We expect spreads to remain range- MLI+44 (UK)20 7996 1143
bound, as Cirsa’s brick-and-mortar business continues to support profitability. stephanie.a.vincent@bofa.com
Conor Forde
Proactively managing its cap stack, MW €29s and PIK bond ResearchMLI (UK) Analyst
One year following its (long-awaited) IPO, Cirsa has emerged on a stronger financial- +44 20 7996 1054
conor.forde@bofa.com
footing, in our view. We expect the company to remain opportunistic with regards to
upcoming refinancings, as it seeks to benefit from a lower cost of debt. We add
coverage of the €29s at MW, assuming a take-out in Feb-27 (‘only’ a c. 3.2% yield). We See the back of this report for a
see Cirsa’s (pre-tax) interest rate falling by >250bps in FY26E (versus FY24). This is a glossary of terms
positive for Cirsa’s already decent cash conversion (historically c. 30% of EBITDA). That
said, an early call of the €31s represents only half-a-point of upside. In addition, the
€31s YTW is slightly lower than that of peers in the € HY gaming universe (c. 4.3% vs
Please also refer to our Jun-26
4.5%).
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