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North America Chemicals: Examining Bogeys and Read-Throughs for This Week‘s 2Q26 Earnings
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North America Chemicals: Examining Bogeys and Read-Throughs for This Week‘s 2Q26 Earnings
Viewpoint |
27 Jul 2026 06:55:47 ET │ 11 pages
North America Chemicals
Examining Bogeys and Read-Throughs for This Week’s 2Q26 Earnings
CITI'S TAKE
Patrick Cunningham AC
With the 2Q reporting cycle kicking off, we examine investor feedback and +1-212-816-6684
bogeys on companies reporting this week. patrick.cunningham@citi.com
Alexander YiThis Week’s Earnings Schedule — AXTA, ECL, and SHW report on Tuesday, 7/28
BMO, while PPG reports on Tuesday, 7/28 AMC. FMC reports on Wednesday, 7/29 +1-212-816-4220
AMC. APD reports on Thursday, 7/30 BMO, followed by CTVA and EMN reporting on alexander.yi@citi.com
Thursday, 7/30 AMC. LIN and LYB both report on Friday, 7/31 BMO.
Rachel Lee
Dow Takeaways and Read-Throughs to Commodity Chems — Dow issued a 3Q +1-212-816-4559
guidance underpinned on ~10c global integrated margin decline reflecting ~15cpp rachel.lee@citi.com
NAM PE price decrease in June and assuming no further price movement. The PE
market remains highly volatile as crude prices continue to fluctuate. While Dow
currently has ~5cpp increase in July on the table, this is not incorporate into its
guidance. Management highlighted several constructive market dynamics,
including rising China PE spot prices alongside declining inventories, as well as
stronger July order activity supported by resilient packaging demand. Dow’s
Hydrocarbons & Energy segment operated at ~84% global operating rates in 2Q due
to planned maintenance outages, with operating rates expected to improve to above
90% in 3Q. While CMA currently forecasts a -10cpp PE decline in July, we believe
renewed escalation of the ME conflict is now the primary driving force of near-term
commodity pricing outlook.
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