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China: Three things in China
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China: Three things in China
Goldman Sachs China
non-manufacturing PMIs this week. We expect both to decline from June levels.
High-frequency data showed weaker steel production. Our equity analysts’ channel
checks indicated softer new orders. Weather conditions remained challenging in
July, with typhoon disruptions and heavy rainfall. Altogether, we project the NBS
manufacturing PMI to fall from 50.3 in June to 49.9 in July.
Recent GS China macro research
Thematic research:
China Matters: Time to Ease, 20 July 2026
Asia in Focus: A New Funding Source for China’s High-Tech Ambitions, 12 July 2026
Data comments and trackers:
AEJ Week Ahead: China PMI, Korea IP, and GDP for Hong Kong and Taiwan, 24 July 2026
GS China Econ Proprietary Indicators: July, 24 July 2026
China Economic Activity and Policy Tracker: July 24, 24 July 2026
China: Fiscal revenue and expenditure growth both improved in June, while land sales
revenue contracted further, 22 July 2026
China Consumer Dashboard: 2026Q2: Consumption momentum softened sequentially,
19 July 2026
China: SAFE data suggest some FX inflows in June, 17 July 2026
China: July Politburo meeting preview: Stronger easing rhetoric likely, but demand-side
stimulus remains key, 16 July 2026
China: Weaker-than-expected money and credit data in June; PBOC press conference
suggests broad easing remains conditional, 15 July 2026
China: 70-city average primary property price decline narrowed further in June, with
Tier-1 cities posting sequential gains, 15 July 2026
China: Real GDP growth slowed meaningfully in Q2 amid mixed June activity data, 15
July 2026
China: Trade growth accelerated further in June, 14 July 2026
China: China’s 15th FYP for Expanding Consumption — Supply-Side Push, Demand-Side
Constraints, 14 July 2026
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