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The Global Point
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The Global Point
Tencent Holdings (0700.HK) - Thoughts on Overreacted Share Sell-Off on Soft
Gaming Fear
We believe the 7% decline in Tencent's shares today (July 22) could be attributable
to market rotation back to AI hardware, renewed concerns of stepped-up AI
investment that drag profit, and fear and "misinterpretation" of 2Q26 gaming
grossing slowdown to a yoy decline in revenues. We believe the sell-off likely
suggests an overreaction especially following decent rebound in recent weeks.
While tracking data indicates a seasonal normalization in gaming grossing in 2Q,
we expect reported revenues to be smoother than expected, supported by deferred
revenue from previous quarters, stronger PC games performance that is not
captured by mobile tracking data. We currently forecast domestic games revenue
to +8% yoy and -3.9% qoq in 2Q26. Short-term fluctuations shouldn't
overshadow the fundamental strength of Tencent’s diversified and globalizing
gaming business, which underpins steady annual growth. We reiterate our Buy
rating and HK$758 TP and view the dip as an enhanced buying opportunity.
Alicia Yap, CFA
Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group (002353.SZ) - Securing >1GW Global CSP
Order; TP raised to Rmb196
Jereh has secured a landmark US$1.465bn contract to supply over 1GW of gas
turbine power generators to a leading global CSP, targeting to deliver by Nov-27.
Thus, we adjust our 2026E/27E EPS by -2%/+56%/+72%. The minor FY26E cut
reflects Middle East EPC delays from the Strait of Hormuz closure. For FY27/28E,
we raise power generator shipments from 800MW to 2.0/2.5GW. Our TP is revised
up to Rmb196 from Rmb146 based on 26x 2027E P/E – the stock’s average P/E + 2
std-dev over 2021-2022. We believe a 26x multiple is appropriate reflecting Jereh's
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