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Sonic Healthcare Ltd. (SHL.AX): Medicover 2Q Result Readthrough: German revenue accelerates
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Sonic Healthcare Ltd. (SHL.AX): Medicover 2Q Result Readthrough: German revenue accelerates
Goldman Sachs Sonic Healthcare Ltd. (SHL.AX)
Exhibit 1: German Diagnostic Revenue Growth - SHL vs. Exhibit 2: Diagnostic Services Segment EBITDA Margin -
Medicover SHL vs. Medicover (Germany ~42% of Medicover
2H26 and FY26 for SHL reflects our forecasts Diagnostic Revenue)
16.0% 20.0%
14.0%
18.0%
12.0%
10.0% 16.0%
8.0%
6.0% 14.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0% 10.0%
1H25 2H25 FY25 1H26 2H26 FY26 FY24 FY25 FY26
SHL Organic Revenue Growth Medicover German Diagnostics Revenue Growth SHL German EBITDA margin (GSe) Medicover Diagnostic Services EBITDA Margin
Source: Company data, Data compiled by Goldman Sachs Global Investment Note: Our estimates for SHL EBITDA Margin for FY26E is diluted by the LADR
Research acquisition.
Source: Company data, Data compiled by Goldman Sachs Global Investment
Research
Exhibit 3: German revenue: GSe is ahead of VA cons Exhibit 4: GSe is ahead of VA cons for FY27 for SHL
Visible Alpha (VA) Consensus vs. GSe - German Revenue VA Consensus vs. GSe - Group Underlying EBITDA & Underlying
EPS
8.0% 3.0%
7.0%
6.0%
5.0%
1.0%
3.0%
0.0%
1.0% -1.0%
FY26E FY27E
FY26E FY27E Underlying EBITDA Underlying EPS
Source: Visible Alpha Consensus Data, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Visible Alpha Consensus
Research Data
Price Target Risks and Methodology - Sonic Healthcare
Our blended valuation reflects a 50%/50% weighting between our DCF valuation and
relative valuation. The DCF valuation is based on a WACC of 7.4% and a terminal growth
rate of 3.0%. Our 12 month forward EV/EBIT multiple for SHL is based on the stock’s
history relative to the index (ASX200) and relative to its peers, normalising for
differences in growth.
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