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Gaming Market Overview: Waiting In Vein
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Gaming Market Overview: Waiting In Vein
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Gaming Market Overview
Waiting In Vein
Estimate Change
2Q26 Trends 20 July 2026
In late February, as markets had grown comfortable with the tariff outlook and the High Yield Credit
economy, the US launched Operation Epic Fury against Iran. The result was a rapid 40% United States
increase in national average gas prices, a 73 basis point increase in 10-year treasury Gaming, Lodging & Leisure,
yields and a 9% decline in the S&P 500. However, the market faded Iran risks relatively Restaurants
quickly as the US consumer (including casino customers) again demonstrated resilience James Kayler, CFA
and the Trump administration began seeking an off ramp. Research Analyst
BofAS
US regional gaming trends remained solid in 2Q26 with revenues tracking up 4% year- +1james.f.kayler@bofa.com646 855 9223
over-year based on the data we have so far. On the Las Vegas Strip through May, Drew Thompson
gaming revenues are up 10% year-over-year in 2Q on flat visitation. Macau was the Research Analyst
underperformer in 2Q with revenues flat year-over-year, driven by World Cup distraction BofASandrew.thompson2@bofa.com
and low VIP hold, which added to broader China Macro fears.
More than fundamentals, the focus in the Gaming industry today is on Caesars
Entertainment, which has announced a definitive agreement to be acquired by Fertitta
Entertainment in a $17.6 billion transaction and MGM Resorts, where Barry Diller’s
People Inc, has made an offer to purchase the 74% of the company it doesn’t own at
$48.30 per share.
Performance and Valuation
In 1Q26, which included the initial reports of Caesars “go-private” transaction, Gaming
credit continued to lag the market as it had in 2025. In 2Q26, the sector has rallied
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