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LATAM Today: July 21, 2026
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LATAM Today: July 21, 2026
Economics Research
21 July 2026 | 8:42AM EDT
RamosARGENTINA Alberto | +1(212)357-5768
alberto.ramos@gs.com
Solid Trade Balance in the Second Quarter Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC
ArmellaBottom Line: The trade balance recorded a US$2.2bn surplus in June, much larger Sergio | +1(212)357-9077
than the US$879mn surplus recorded a year ago but down from the record high sergio.armella@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC
US$3.4bn surplus in the previous month. Santiago Tellez
+1(212)855-0367 |
Strong exports boosted the trade balance in the second quarter of 2026, and the santiago.tellez@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC
energy trade balance posted a record high of US$3.6bn in the quarter. The
cumulative trade balance over the last 12 months rose to a record US$22.5bn
surplus in June, approximately 3.2% of GDP, up from US$11.3bn (about 1.7% of
GDP) by year-end 2025. The cumulative energy balance over the last twelve months
is tracking at US$10.0bn, as high oil prices due to the conflict in the Middle East have
benefited Argentina’s energy exports.
DETAILS:
1. The trade balance recorded a US$2,194mn surplus in June, up from the
US$879mn surplus recorded a year ago. The cumulative trade balance over the
last 12 months is now at a US$22.5bn surplus, approximately 3.2% of GDP, up
from the US$11.3bn surplus as of year-end 2025.
2. In June, the energy trade balance posted a US$612bn surplus, smaller than the
US$722mn surplus recorded in the previous year on the back of 126.3% higher
energy imports (US$795mn vs US$351mn last year) despite higher energy
exports that rose by 31.0% (US$1.4bn vs US$1.1bn last year).
3. Total trade flows (sum of exports and imports) rose by 16.4% yoy in June driven
by higher exports, which increased by 24.5% yoy to US$9.06bn (slightly above
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