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Boliden (BOL.ST): JunQ‘26 First take: Lower production/earnings on slower mine and smelter ramp ups; Sell
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Boliden (BOL.ST): JunQ‘26 First take: Lower production/earnings on slower mine and smelter ramp ups; Sell
Equity Research
21 July 2026 | 7:05AM BST
Boliden (BOL.ST): JunQ’26 First take: Lower production/earnings on
slower mine and smelter ramp ups; Sell
Boliden delivered a weaker than expected quarter, with mined production generally Matt Greene
+44(20)7051-0489 |
missing consensus estimates across the portfolio. Adjusted 2Q EBIT (excluding the matt.greene@gs.com
Goldman Sachs International
SEK +322mn PIR impact) of SEK 2.87bn came in 3% below GSe and 12% below
Riccardo D’Agata
company-compiled consensus. While reported EPS of SEK 7.8 was in line with +44(20)7051-0958 |
consensus and ahead of GSe, FCF disappointed at SEK (2.1)bn (GSe SEK (0.3)bn) due riccardo.dagata@gs.comGoldman Sachs International
to a larger than expected working capital build, leaving quarter end net debt at SEK
19.1bn versus GSe of SEK 17.7bn.
Outlook: While the Odda ramp up continues to progress, commissioning remains
slower than expected, with Boliden also highlighting ramp-up challenges at Ronnskar
following maintenance during the quarter. At Tara, the recovery remains gradual,
with 2026 mining guidance reduced by 0.2Mt to 1.6Mt (in line with GSe) from 1.8Mt
previously. No changes were made to Garpenberg’s 2026-27 production outlook;
however, we continue to expect guidance to be revised lower in Q4 once internal
studies and recovery plans are finalised. In the meantime, mining activities remain
restricted to areas unaffected by the seismic event.
BOL confirmed it is in advanced discussions over a potential acquisition of a majority
stake in Nexa Resources. We expect investors to focus on why management believes
now is the right time to pursue another, a potentially sizeable transaction, and the
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