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European Banks: Citi European Banks Weekly
研报英文原文证据摘录
European Banks: Citi European Banks Weekly
Roundup |
European Banks
Citi European Banks Weekly 20 Jul 2026 07:35:36 ET
ACWestern Europe Andrew Coombs, CFA
Focus +44-20-7986-4053
Last week, we published our Investment Banks quarterly piece European Banks - Simon Nellis
Banking On Markets – Summer 2026: Blow Out Equities Revenues. 2Q26 saw a +44-20-7986-4012
blow-out quarter for Equities & ECM, especially in US and Asia helped by some
high profile IPOs, as well as record prime balances. We do not expect quarterly Borja Ramirez Segura
revenues to prove sustainable at these record levels, but the backdrop is likely to +44-20-7508-0206
remain supportive throughout 2H26 and into 2027. The downside for European Shrey Srivastava
banks is that the Equities strength was mainly driven by Asia and US, as opposed
+44-20-7986-2608to Europe, and US peers are electing to take this opportunity to reinvest into the
business, so competitive pressures look set to intensify. UBS (and to a lesser
extent Barclays) look best placed to benefit - we increase our UBS EPS by 7-9% on
Equities, plus Wealth AuM appreciation - but valuation already appears full in our
view. Our top-pick among the wholesale banks is SocGen and least preferred
Deutsche Bank.
We also published a detailed report on UK Banks Big Picture - Summer 2026:
Seeking A Path Through The Noise. We remain constructive on UK bank
fundamentals, with NIM expansion and high volume growth. Yet a combination of
UK politics and China regulation has muddied the picture in recent weeks. We
believe concerns around both should now begin to ease, enabling investors to
focus on the impressive return trajectories which should again be visible with
2Q26 reporting. We continue to be most constructive on the medium-term
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