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Shenzhen Envicool Technology (002837.SZ)
研报英文原文证据摘录
Shenzhen Envicool Technology (002837.SZ)
Action |
19 Jul 2026 21:19:47 ET │ 15 pages
Expectation of Another 2Q26 Results Miss; Sell
CITI'S TAKE
Sell Per A-share regulator (xueqiu.com 3-Apr-2026), the deadline of posting
1H26 preliminary results is 15 July for A-share listed on Shenzhen. Since Price (17 Jul 26 15:00) Rmb61.570
Envicool hasn’t released the preliminary results before the due date, that Target price Rmb49.000↑
would mean the 1H26 net profit growth should be below 50% on yoy. from Rmb46.154
There are no consensus forecast for 1H26E on Envicool but the VA Expected share price return -20.4%
consensus forecast for full year net profit growth is more than double to Expected dividend yield 0.3%
Rmb1.08bn in 2026E from Rmb522m in 2025. We believe the company
Expected total return -20.1% will very likely deliver another missing quarterly results for 2Q26. Note our
Market Cap Rmb78,462M earnings forecast 2026 is 26% well below VA consensus. We add 2028E
forecast with 3-yr EPS CAGR of 33% thru 2028E and fine tune our TP to US$11,591M
Rmb49 from Rmb46.154 (following bonus share dilution), based on ~63x
2027E PE (was 60x) for higher historical and comp valuation. Reiterate
Sell.
Eric LauAC
+852-2501-2726
No preliminary result is a negative surprise — Per A-share regulator, company has eric.h.lau@citi.com
to release preliminary results in 1H26 before 15 July if net profit is up or down over
Alice Cai50%. We see the consensus forecast of Rmb1.07bn in 2026E or more than double
on yoy basis. The consensus forecast translates to 1H26E net profit Rmb428m if +852-2501-2704
assuming 1H accounting for 40% of full-year profit according to 2024 and 2025 alice.cai@citi.com
record. In other words, the VA consensus implies 98% yoy growth during 1H26E, Andy Li
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