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The SMID Point
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The SMID Point
Industry
US Airlines - Chart of the Day: Positioning Update Shows Net Length Little
Changed
We’ve been updating our positioning analysis more frequently during EPS season
as investors look for regular updates during a catalyst rich period. Recall, this
analysis is performed by Citi’s quant team and relies on a combination of historical
relative valuation, short interest, public sentiment, macro exposure, and historical
price momentum. Despite recent softness in airlines primarily on rising
oil/renewed Iran conflict concerns, positioning has changed very little from when
we flagged a clear positive lean across the industry (see Is Everyone Net Long
Airlines Now? ). Relatively speaking, DAL, JBLU, ALK, and SKYW are the airlines
that investors are less positive on. UAL and ALGT stand out as leaning most net
positive, with AAL not far behind. Fundamentally, it’s hard for us to argue with the
stocks investors are most positive on because they happen to be some of our top
picks
John Godyn | Max Lesnik
US Building Products—Card Insights - Spending Remains Solid in July
In our weekly, we examine a subset of Citi US credit card data for read-throughs to
repair & remodel (R&R) activity; we analyze real estate services, construction
materials, forest products, homebuilding, and R&R retail spending. We consider
the categories in aggregate to be a rough representation of US R&R, albeit
weighted toward DIY over Pro. Card spending in the 4 weeks ended 7/11/26
decelerated -40bp to +5.3% Y/Y on an tougher comp of +90bp; comps generally
get tougher through the summer as Y/Y spending accelerated over the course of
summer ‘25. We stress the weekly data is volatile, and we view much of the recent
spending growth reflecting producer price hikes, rather than higher consumption
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