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Keymed Biosciences (2162.HK): Profit alert: Stapokibart outperformance and BD monetization drive profitability; Buy
研报英文原文证据摘录
Keymed Biosciences (2162.HK): Profit alert: Stapokibart outperformance and BD monetization drive profitability; Buy
Equity Research
16 July 2026 | 2:26AM HKT
Keymed Biosciences (2162.HK): Profit alert: Stapokibart
outperformance and BD monetization drive profitability; Buy
Stronger-than-expected stapokibart ramp-up reinforces commercialization Honglin Yan
+852-2978-6666 | honglin.yan@gs.com
confidence: The company announced a positive profit alert - Stapokibart delivered Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C.
a stronger-than-expected commercial performance in 1H26, with sales exceeding Ziyi Chen
Rmb390mn, ahead of our forecast of Rmb356mn and representing >132% YoY +852-2978-0526Goldman Sachs (Asia)| ziyi.chen@gs.comL.L.C.
growth, driven by accelerating volume expansion following NRDL inclusion of three
indications (AD/CRS/SAR) and both formulations (vial/pre-filled autoinjector).
Commercial execution was also encouraging, with hospital coverage expanding to
1,600+ hospitals by 2Q26 versus c.1,500 by 1Q26, while the commercialization team
grew to 500+ FTEs from 480+ previously. The continued increase in hospital
penetration, combined with improving patient affordability post-reimbursement,
supports our view that stapokibart is entering a faster adoption phase. Given the
stronger-than-expected 1H sales trajectory, we raise our FY26 stapokibart sales
forecast to Rmb850mn from Rmb750mn previously. Keymed stands out as one of
the few companies with potential to outperform sales expectations in 2026 despite
sector-wide anti-corruption headwinds. Against a backdrop of potential downward
guidance revisions across some pharma/biotech companies, Keymed’s
stronger-than-expected stapokibart ramp-up underscores its differentiated
commercial execution, in our view.
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