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Mexican Lending in Pictures: May 2026: Loan growth accelerating, but only Banorte running above GSe
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Mexican Lending in Pictures: May 2026: Loan growth accelerating, but only Banorte running above GSe
Equity Research
15 July 2026 | 6:40AM EDT
Mexican Lending in Pictures: May 2026: Loan growth accelerating, but
only Banorte running above GSe
Further acceleration of loan growth, but mixed profitability trends Tito Labarta
+1(212)357-6760 | tito.labarta@gs.com
May data showed further loan growth acceleration at the system level (6.6%/6.5% in Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC
May/April) and at all covered companies, while asset quality remained stable with Tiago Binsfeld, CFA
NPLs at 2.3%. However, profitability increased only at Banco del Bajío and Gentera +55(11)3371-4574tiago.binsfeld@gs.com|
(based on Compartamos), while it fell at the system level, Banorte, Inbursa and Goldman Sachs do Brasil CTVM S.A.
Juliana OharaRegional. Meanwhile, we adjust our models to reflect the latest data, where implied +55(11)3372-0202 |
2Q26 earnings are running 2% above GSe at Banorte, but below at BanBajio (-1%), juliana.ohara@gs.comGoldman Sachs do Brasil CTVM S.A.
Regional (-5%), Inbursa (-16%) and Gentera (-20%), as we believe June data might
still show accelerating trends. Finally, Condusef June data for NU shows loan growth
of 3% mom and 54% yoy (vs. 56% yoy in May).
System loan growth accelerated slightly
System loan growth accelerated slightly to 6.6% yoy (+10bps) with stronger
commercial loans (+20bps to 5.0% yoy) offsetting softer individual loans (-30bps to
11.7%), while mortgage expansion kept the pace at 5.2% yoy. The commercial loan
growth was supported by an improvement in government loans (+580bps to -1.1%
yoy), compensating weaker lending activity of companies and financial entities
(-40/-310bps to 7.1%/-9.0% yoy). Meanwhile, retail lending slowed as weaker
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