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Margin miss overshadows exceptional order intake
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Margin miss overshadows exceptional order intake
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Kongsberg Gruppen
Margin miss overshadows exceptional
order intake
Reiterate Rating: BUY | PO: 465.00 NOK | Price: 279.00 NOK
Shares fall 7% as margins disappoint 14 July 2026
Kongsberg's shares fell c7% following Q2 results, primarily driven by weaker-than- Equity
expected profitability. Group EBIT margins of 16.1% were c110bps below consensus,
resulting in EPS c6% below expectations. Order intake was strong at NOK17.1bn, up
Key Changes53% YoY and 24% ahead of cons., supported by NOK10bn+ of JSM orders. Revenue grew
31% YoY and was broadly in line with expectations. Our revenue forecasts increase as (NOK) Previous Current
we consolidate Zone 5, but FY’26 EPS goes down c2% due to lower Discovery/Missiles 2026E Rev (m) 43,394.1 43,453.8
EBIT, partly offset by Zone 5 and higher associates. We reiterate our Buy rating. 2027E Rev (m) 60,664.5 62,119.3
Kongsberg’s long-term growth remains underpinned by its exposure to Air Defence and 2028E Rev (m) 81,590.7 83,753.6
Missiles, a view supported by a record backlog. PO remains NOK465. 2026E EPS 7.26 7.15
2027E EPS 9.72 9.61
2028E EPS 13.16 13.12Margin disappointment is largely transitory
Discovery EBIT missed consensus by c9% despite revenues broadly meeting
expectations, as margins fell 230bps YoY to 15.3%. Management attributed c100bps of Benjamin Heelan >>
Research Analyst
the decline to the transition into new facilities, with the remainder reflecting Merrill Lynch (DIFC)
unfavourable mix. Defence Systems was the second-largest source of downside, with +44 20 7996 5723 benjamin.heelan@bofa.com
EBIT margins declining c200bps YoY to 17.7% due to product mix, including lower-
David Holmes, CFA >>
margin Ukraine donation programmes.
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