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China Brokers & Asset Managers: Strong 2Q earnings as expected, likely 3Q momentum supported by ROE recovery
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China Brokers & Asset Managers: Strong 2Q earnings as expected, likely 3Q momentum supported by ROE recovery
Equity Research
14 July 2026 | 12:43AM HKT
China Brokers & Asset Managers: Strong 2Q earnings as expected, likely
3Q momentum supported by ROE recovery
Recent 1H26 earnings pre-announcements from Chinese brokers point to another Shuo Yang, Ph.D.
+852-2978-0701 | shuo.yang@gs.com
quarter of strong performance. Across the nine brokers that have disclosed Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C.
guidance, average net profit growth is approximately 155% YoY, with CICC and Claire Ouyang
CITICS reporting YoY growth of 78%-90% and 70%, respectively. +852-2978-6686claire.x.ouyang@gs.com|
Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C.
The earnings strength was primarily supported by continued momentum across both
primary and secondary capital markets. A-share ADTV reached a record Rmb 2.9tn
in 2Q26, while margin financing balances exceeded Rmb 3tn, reflecting sustained
investor participation and supporting brokerage commissions and interest income.
At the same time, A-share IPO issuance rose to Rmb 66bn, the highest level since
2024, while Hong Kong IPO activity remained robust due to a healthy project
pipeline.
Looking into 3Q26, key areas to monitor include the sustainability of trading activity
and IPO issuance, progress in capital deployment toward Hong Kong operations, and
potential earnings contributions from upcoming technology listings. CICC
management commentary suggests market activity remains resilient, while several
brokers continue to expand their international platforms through capital injections
and strategic transactions.
We maintain a preference for CICC-H and CITICS-A, given their leading positions in
Hong Kong capital markets, growing international operations, and potential for
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