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The Point for Latin America
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The Point for Latin America
Brazil Railroads and Shipping - Grains Logistics Tracker: Weekly Preview and
Charts (July-10)
Data as of July 10th shows truckers’ margins down -1.1p.p. w-o-w, or down -1.2p.p.
w-o-4w, on average. Moderation seems to be intensifying, and we expect further
drops ahead as the logistic market gradually enters the grains off-season. Corn
harvest has reached ~60% of planted area and advanced well due to good weather
conditions, though still with southern regions of the Mato Grosso state lagging
meaningfully. Climate conditions are at the center of discussions and remain a
point of attention, with NOAA last week increasing the likelihood of a very strong
El Niño from 64% to 81% (The AgriBiz, July 10th). Above-average rainfall in the
coming weeks at Mato Grosso may increase challenges for the ongoing harvest,
while the risks for hydrology and the upcoming crops remain relevant. Key weekly
charts are in the note.
Filipe Nielsen
Brazil Healthcare Services - Citi Friday Charts: Onco second order impact
On the heels of the Oncoclinicas looming financial duress, this week’s Citi Friday
Charts explores potential second order impacts across the Brazilian healthcare
value chain. Accordingly, ONCO’s ongoing distress could create oncology market-
share opportunities for larger providers, with RDOR potentially benefiting from
volumes “up for grabs”, as RDOR has already shown meaningful acceleration in
oncology revenue growth since 3Q25 (Charts #1-4). Elsewhere, ONCO’s position
as one of the industry’s low-cost oncology providers could also create MLR
headwinds for large payors in the event of patient volume migration to higher-cost
networks. Under our simplified sensitivity analysis, assuming SAUD and PSSA
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