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Kodiak Gas Services Inc. (KGS): 2Q26 Preview: Focus on Growing Power Opportunity
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Kodiak Gas Services Inc. (KGS): 2Q26 Preview: Focus on Growing Power Opportunity
Goldman Sachs Kodiak Gas Services Inc. (KGS)
KGS continues to work through its customer project.
n We forecast Power contributions of $23m, driven by the legacy DPS fleet.
Key Focus Areas
Confident in compression outlook. The outlook for the compression industry has
remained robust in 2026 as supply/demand dynamics remain tight, exhibited by growing
natural gas demand and long lead times for new engines. KGS last quoted lead times
~+190 weeks for 3600 gas compression engines at the EIC conference in May - during
1Q26 earnings, the company noted they are beginning to secure orders into 2029. We
look for more color on the 2027+ order momentum from here. While supply remains
tight, we have not seen any material shift in pricing - KGS previously highlighted that CAT
(a core compression engine supplier) has not pushed pricing higher yet (despite limited
capacity for higher demand). We look for the ability for pricing to improve from here,
including the potential upside to recontracting prices through 2028 where new unit
supply is tightest, which could generate incremental margin upside. Elsewhere, contract
duration remains top of mind. KGS has announced one 10-year contract renewal with
existing customer, a 7-year contract life from its recent purchase-leaseback, and
pointed to securing an incremental 10-year contract extension on the 1Q26 earnings
call. We continue to watch the willingness for customers to extend contracts from here
and whether locking-up term could limit pricing upside to KGS, though believe further
extension opportunities could help support the stability of KGS’s cash flows long term.
Overall, we expect continued operational strength for KGS’s compression services
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