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2Q26 preview: resilient earnings on track
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2Q26 preview: resilient earnings on track
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Banks - Korea
Price Objective Change
Expect another quarter of solid earnings 07 July 2026
Korean banks are scheduled to report 2Q earnings from the week of 20 July. We expect Equity
the banks under our coverage to collectively post 8.4% QoQ and 6.0% YoY growth in Republic of Korea
2Q26 net profit, supported by stable NIMs, improving loan growth, healthy non-interest Banks
income, and no significant asset quality issues. On the back of solid earnings growth, we Jisun Lee >>
expect continued expansion in group RoE across Korean banks, further enhancing their Research Analyst
shareholder return capacity. Our top pick in the sector remains KB, which is well Merrill+82 2 3707Lynch0418(Seoul)
positioned to benefit from the current favorable market environment, given its well- jisun.lee@bofa.com
diversified non-banking portfolio and strongest capital ratio in the sector. Simon Woo, CFA >>
Research Analyst
Merrill Lynch (Seoul)
+82 2 3707 0554NIMs look resilient; loan growth improving
simon.woo@bofa.com
The BoK spread data suggests a continued positive trajectory for banks' NIMs. While
both backbook funding costs and lending rates have been rising, the increase in lending
rates has slightly outpaced that in funding costs since March 2026, keeping spreads
Exhibit 1: Earnings season set to begin
broadly steady. Accordingly, we believe NIMs will likely be largely stable to slightly higher with Shinhan
QoQ in 2Q26. The BoK data also suggests a gradual improvement in loan growth, with Earnings reporting date
system loans growing 1.2% QTD as of May, compared with 0.9% at end-March. Although
Company Reporting dateJune data are yet to be released, we expect overall loan growth to remain healthy,
Shinhan 23-Jul
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