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Patterson-UTI Energy: 2Q26 Preview: Largely Derisked with Eyes on 3Q Pricing Inflection
研报英文原文证据摘录
Patterson-UTI Energy: 2Q26 Preview: Largely Derisked with Eyes on 3Q Pricing Inflection
J P M O R G A N North America Equity Research
06 July 2026
Patterson-UTI Energy Underweight
PTEN, PTEN US
2Q26 Preview: Largely Derisked with Eyes on 3Q Price (02 Jul 26):$8.66
Pricing Inflection Price Target (Dec-26):$10.00
JPM View: PTEN’s 2Q26 print should largely confirm the U.S. shale activity Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
ACinflection thesis, with the preannounced EBITDA of ~$220mm (vs. prior JPMe/ Arun Jayaram
STe of $208/$206mm) already de-risking the quarter. Our recent catch-up with (1-212) 622-8541
CEO Andy Hendricks and VP of IR Mike Sabella was largely consistent with the arun.jayaram@jpmchase.com
May 2026 investor presentation, though we note the rig count has already moved Jason Kim
to 96 (+1 above the preannounced 95 exit rate), with the company on-track for ~98 (1-212) 622-1408
rigs by mid-July and 100+ by YE26. In drilling, MSD dayrate increases are being jason.b.kim@jpmchase.com
implemented with minimal cost inflation outside of the $5-10mm of reactivation Sowmya Vemulapalli
costs already embedded in 2Q, which should set up favorable incrementals in 3Q (1-212) 270-4660
sowmya.vemulapalli@jpmchase.com
as those costs roll off and pricing layers in. In completions, the fleet is sold out with J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
no white space in 3Q26 and pricing increases taking effect July 1, which we believe
will drive adjusted gross profit from ~$120mm in 2Q26 to the $130-135mm range
in 3Q26 at high incrementals. Key Changes (FYE Dec)
Prev Cur Δ
For 2Q26, we model $220mm, in-line with STe $220mm and above prior JPMe/ Adj. EPS - 26E ($) (0.11) 0.01 105.2%
STe of $208/$206mm prior to the May 26 preannouncement. For 3Q26, we model Adj. EPS - 27E ($) 0.15 0.40 157.3%
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