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Krungthai Card: Structural quality, sustainable growth
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Krungthai Card: Structural quality, sustainable growth
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Krungthai Card
Structural quality, sustainable growth
Reiterate Rating: BUY | PO: 38.00 THB | Price: 33.25 THB
Upgrading customer mix supports spending 01 July 2026
KTC continues to outperform the industry in credit-card spending despite soft Equity
consumption, reflecting an improving customer mix. Higher-income cardholders, now
20% of the portfolio, are driving higher spending, particularly in insurance, the largest
Key Changesspending category. Together with targeted campaigns and loyalty program, this leads us
to raise our credit card spending forecasts by an average of 3% p.a. over 2026-28. (Bt) Previous Current
Price Obj. 35.00 38.00
2026E EPS 3.41 3.39Quality over volume
The widening gap between spending and receivable growth reflects faster repayments 2027E EPS 3.53 3.62
by affluent customers rather than weaker demand. This reinforces KTC's quality-over- 2028E EPS 3.62 3.74
volume strategy and supports our lower credit cost assumptions. We forecast overall
loan growth of around 1% p.a. in 2026-27 and increasing to 1.9% in 2028. Sarachada Sornsong ^^^
Research Analyst
Kiatnakin Phatra Securities
+66 2 305 9197Multiple earnings tailwinds sarachada.sorn@kkpfg.com
We expect 2Q26 net profit of Bt2.2bn, up 1% QoQ and 14% YoY, supported by multiple
earnings tailwinds, including lower funding costs, resilient card spending, stable asset
quality and a normalized tax rate. We fine-tune our earnings forecasts to reflect stronger
spending and a lower medium-term credit cost outlook. Stock Data
Growth with yield Price 33.25 THB Price Objective 38.00 THB
KTC continues to offer an attractive combination of sustainable earnings growth, Date Established 1-Jul-2026
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