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WEG: Incorporating a more conservative T&D ramp-up; Move Brasil approvals slow
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WEG: Incorporating a more conservative T&D ramp-up; Move Brasil approvals slow
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Daily Boarding
WEG: Incorporating a more conservative
T&D ramp-up; Move Brasil approvals slow
Industry Overview
WEG: T&D ramp-up near-term drag; medium term upside 01 July 2026
We revised our estimates to reflect a more conservative T&D capacity ramp-up in both Equity
revenue and margins. WEG should add capacity in Brazil in 3Q-4Q26, followed by Mexico Latin America
and Colombia in early 2027, doubling its T&D capacity (currently >20% of revenue). Daily Boarding
While this reinforces the medium-term growth story, we estimate the ramp-up could Rogerio Araujo >>
weigh on 2H26 EBITDA margin by ~1pp, bringing it closer to the lower end of the Research Analyst
company's recent 22-23% historical range, as part of fixed costs - especially Merrill+55 11Lynch2188 (Brazil)4255
personnel - should be incurred ahead of full revenue recognition. This pressure should be rogerio.araujo@bofa.com
partly mitigated by the nature of the incremental backlog. We believe a meaningful Gabriel Frazao >>
Research Analyst
portion of the new volume will be long-cycle equipment recognized under PoC Merrill Lynch (Brazil)
accounting, allowing production to start flowing through revenue and EBITDA early in +55 11 2188 4252
gabriel.frazao@bofa.com
the ramp-up. From 2028 onward, we estimate 2H26`s ~1pp margin headwind could turn
into a ~1pp tailwind, all else equal, as capacity absorption improves and the incremental
T&D mix carries structurally higher margins. See: T&D capacity ramp-up: near-term BNDES: Brazil`s National
margin drag, medium-term upside. Maintain Neutral rating. Development Bank
Financing for Uber & taxi drivers starts slow PoC: Percentage of Completion
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