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Citi‘s Most Read - Europe
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Citi‘s Most Read - Europe
Roundup |
Citi's Most Read - Europe
June 22 - June 28 29 Jun 2026 06:41:38 ET
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Global Multi-Asset - Turmoil in the Middle East—Implications for Supply Chains
Macro-to-Micro
Economics View: The interim agreement between the United States and Iran has
allowed oil prices to decline and has eased headwinds restraining the global
economy. Even so, it is too soon to say that conflict-related challenges are entirely
behind us. The durability of the deal remains to be seen, and the conflict has done
damage to productive infrastructure across the Middle East. An important
implication is that supply-chain pressures are likely to linger. Consistent with this
view, our Citi Global Supply Chain Pressure Index has already tightened
significantly and, as such, we see some looming challenges for global growth and
inflation. Equity View: The sectors most at risk, including Aluminum,
Petrochemicals, and Fertilizers, look poised to endure a sustained period of
pressures. In contrast, Helium & Chip Manufacturing and North American
Transport strike us as better positioned.
Nathan Sheets | Cole Langlois | Laura (Chia Yi) Chen | Peter Lee | Elizabeth Sun, CFA
Brent Oil Price Citi Global Supply Chain Pressure Index
$/bbl Pre-Pandemic Average = 0
130 4
Onset of Iran Conflict
120 3
100 May
-1 70
60 -2
Feb-2026 Mar-2026 Apr-2026 May-2026 Jun-2026 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026
Rheinmetall (RHMG.DE) - Thoughts on F126 loss - takes some of the froth out
(but valuation not frothy)
It has been widely reported (Bloomberg, 24/6/26, here) that Germany will cancel
the F126 frigate program (and buy 8 MEKO frigates from TKMS instead, 4 more
than previously). We have been cautious of Rheinmetall's ability to ramp Naval
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