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Grab Holdings Ltd (GRAB.O): 2Q26E Preview: Expect Solid Q D Despite FX Headwind; See DFS Upside
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Grab Holdings Ltd (GRAB.O): 2Q26E Preview: Expect Solid Q D Despite FX Headwind; See DFS Upside
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29 Jun 2026 06:58:31 ET │ 22 pages
Grab Holdings Ltd (GRAB.O)
2Q26E Preview: Expect Solid Q Despite FX Headwind; See DFS Upside
CITI'S TAKE
We expect Grab to likely report its 2Q26 results in early Aug. Despite fuel
cost and FX headwind that might have affected traveling sentiment in the
region during the quarter, the stronger demand for delivery segment Buy
contributed by strength across food, grocery and advertising revs should Price (26 Jun 26 16:00) US$3.55
lead to another solid 2Q26 for on-demand business. We see possible
Target price US$6.40upside risks for DFS segment given the one-month contribution from
Superbank consolidation. Into 2H26, with moderating fuel cost volatility, Expected share price return 80.3%
we believe tourism volume likely to trend better, together with stable Expected dividend yield 0.0%
competitive landscape, we expect on-demand segment growth remains
Expected total return 80.3%promising with relatively steady margins despite factoring in commission
cap for two-wheeler in Indonesia. We expect Grab to update FY26 guidance Market Cap US$14,520M
especially for DFS to reflect the Superbank consolidation. Post estimate
tweak, our SOTP is unchanged at US$6.40. Maintain Buy and believe
fundamental strength remains intact with more steady policy and
competitive environment. Price Performance
(RIC: GRAB.O, BB: GRAB US)Indonesia 2W commission cap — It is confirmed that the new regulation of capping
commission fees at 8% will only apply to two-wheeler, which we view as a relief and
should help alleviate the overhang. With effective starting July 1st, while no impact in
2Q26, we estimate small and manageable revs and EBITDA impact in 2H26.
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