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Energy, Utilities & Mining Pulse: Investors Asking: What Is One High Conviction Theme and Stock Call As We Position for 3Q26?
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Energy, Utilities & Mining Pulse: Investors Asking: What Is One High Conviction Theme and Stock Call As We Position for 3Q26?
the next quarter in power/utilities. For
the IPPs, we believe we will see tailwinds for the sector from rising power prices and
improved clarity on the regulatory outlook to drive more PPAs to get signed in the space,
which we think will both contribute to positive estimate revisions. For the regulated
utilities, we continue to see potential for positive revisions to capital plans and earnings
(XEL, DUK, SRE) to support the growth in power demand, but we are mindful of areas
like PJM (EXC) where affordability is highly in focus and markets where we are seeing
heightened pushback to the buildout of power/data center infrastructure that could
potentially limit the upside potential around capex.
E&P:
We highlight Buy rated DVN on the back of our reinstatement of coverage on the stock
published earlier this week (linked here), as we see an attractive entry point to this name
with shares currently trading at a 15% average FCF yield on our 2027/2028 estimates
relative to large cap E&P peer average of 11% (peers include OXY, COP, FANG, EOG). We
believe DVN has a rich catalyst pathway ahead in 2H26/2027 which includes the
potential for incremental clarity from management around the pro forma portfolio
outlook given recent management commentary and DVN’s updated 2026 outlook,
potential for further A&D activity, and progress towards the $1.0 bn merger synergy
target by YE2027. DVN continues to emphasize a prioritization in optimizing its
Delaware Basin asset within the broader portfolio, as the company recently acquired
16.3k undeveloped acres in the Delaware Basin for $2.6 bn in a federal lease sale,
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