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Forvia (FRVIA.PA): Forvia 1H26 pre-close call messages – expect FY26 guidance to be confirmed
研报英文原文证据摘录
Forvia (FRVIA.PA): Forvia 1H26 pre-close call messages – expect FY26 guidance to be confirmed
Flash |
26 Jun 2026 03:15:19 ET │ 10 pages
Forvia (FRVIA.PA)
Forvia 1H26 pre-close call messages – expect FY26 guidance to be
confirmed
CITI’S TAKE Neutral / High Risk
Forvia delivered their 1H26 pre-close call messages this morning ahead of Price (25 Jun 26 17:30) €9.28
results on 31st July. With interiors treated as discontinued-operations the Target price €12.00
key group comps from 1H25 are sales €10.9bn and a 5.8% group margin.
Expected share price return 29.3% Overall Forvia continuing to see a contrasting regional picture with China
still weak (albeit slightly less bad vs 1Q26), Europe in-line and North Expected dividend yield 0.0%
America outperforming, with no meaningful increase in supply chain Expected total return 29.3%
disruptions but cost inflation higher on account of recent middle-east Market Cap €1,829M
impacts. Overall 2Q is seen progressing in-line with the FY plan and we US$2,082M
expect FY26 guidance to be confirmed at 1H results. 1H is expected to
benefit from continued cost savings, likely ~40% of FY26’s €110m savings
to fall in 1H26 with higher cash-out restructuring on the FCF bridge as
programs ramp. Cost recoveries expected to cover most of fresh inflation Ross MacDonaldAC
in 2026, but hence a higher 2H is expected. +44-20-7986-7547
ross.macdonald@citi.com
Conclusion: Company consensus looks for a 5.8% group margin 1H26, €599m adj.
EBIT vs VA cons FY26 Adj. EBIT at €1,243m; implying ~47%/53% group EBIT split 1H
vs 2H respectively. Today’s message was consistent with this consensus. Overall we
believe the current consensus 1H26 EBIT margin of 5.8% is in an appropriate place
and comments around FY26 guidance being on track should be good enough to take
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