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佛瑞亚(FRVIA.PA):尽管2026年上半年业绩非常扎实,但股价缺乏支撑难以理解 - 重申买入

发布日期: 2026-07-31研究机构: Citi公司 / 股票: FRVIA.PA报告页数: 11原文语言: English

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31 Jul 2026 10:43:50 ET │ 11 pages

Forvia (FRVIA.PA)

Lack of share price support despite very solid 1H26 is hard to reconcile Reiterate Buy

CITI'S TAKE

Headwinds for supplier stocks are well understood; Western OEM

volumes are challenged, R&D intensity has been too high, restructuring

has limited cash-returns and Chinese entrants/OEM in-housing risks

have been seen as a threat to moats. Beyond being powertrain agnostic,

one of the key signals of "Investibility" for suppliers has been balance

sheet health. Forvia has been a good case study for this; shares have

broadly traded up when leverage has been falling, sold off when leverage

has been rising. This relationship feels broken based on price action post

2Q26 results. Management struck a confident tone, confirmed FY26

guidance fully and delivered the best semester of de-leveraging in years,

with net debt reduced €0.5bn in 1H26, with more to on the interior sale

process. Despite this execution, shares are c.5% lower today. We reiterate

our Buy rating and our view that further de-leveraging will, eventually,

unlock significant upside for equity holders.

Buy / High Risk

Catalyst Watch: Upside, expires 07-AUG-26

Price (31 Jul 26 13:39)

Target price

Expected share price return

Expected dividend yield

Expected total return

Market Cap

Ross MacDonaldAC

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