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ABS Alert: Under the hood
研报英文原文证据摘录
ABS Alert: Under the hood
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ABS Alert
Under the hood
Weakness continues but stabilization is possible 23 June 2026
We expect modestly weaker credit performance across both prime and subprime auto Securitized Products Strategy
loan ABS, with a growing likelihood of stabilization as the year progresses, particularly as United States
U.S.–Iran tensions move closer to resolution. Chris Flanagan
FI/MBS/CLO Strategist
BofASModestly higher delinquencies +1 646 855 6119
Based on our asset level database for retail auto loan ABS, regardless of credit score or christopher.flanagan@bofa.com
income level, 30+ days delinquency (DQ) rates have trended higher from the lows seen in Theresa O'Neill
early to mid-2021. Meanwhile, the YoY rates of deterioration (as measured by YoY ABSBofASStrategist
changes in DQ rates) are below peak levels but have recently trended up. +1 646 855 9285
theresa.oneill@bofa.com
Alvin FungPerformance trends by credit score and income buckets ABS Strategist
Our asset level database for retail auto loan ABS shows lower credit score buckets have BofAS
weaker credit performance than higher credit score buckets. However, the pace of +1 646 855-9091 alvin.fung@bofa.com
deterioration has varied across credit buckets over time. For instance, after compressing
to a trough in August 2023, dispersion across credit score buckets began to widen
before subsequently tightening again. In recent months, the dispersion has been See Exhibit 32 on page 12 for commonly used
increasing with prime seeing the highest rate of deterioration and subprime seeing the acronyms
lowest. Meanwhile, the lower income tercile has the highest delinquency rate but the
Don’t miss these reportshigher income tercile has the highest YoY rate of deterioration.
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