10 questions on a cut to the food consumption tax rate

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10 questions on a cut to the food consumption tax rate

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10 questions on a cut to the food

consumption tax rate

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23 June 2026

Rising likelihood of a consumption tax cut on food Economics

The likelihood of a cut in the food consumption tax rate, which Prime Minister (PM) Japan

Takaichi has positioned as a key campaign pledge, is increasing. The tax rate on food

and beverages is expected to be lowered from 8% to around 1% for two years from April Takayasu Kudo Japan Economist

2027. If implemented, the policy could have notable implications for the macro outlook BofAS Japan

and related sectors. This report summarizes key questions and our views. +81takayasu.kudo@bofa.com3 6225 8592

Latest developments, remaining challenges, and timeline ArashiResearchNishizawaAnalyst >>

A proposal to lower the tax rate was presented at last week’s meeting of the National BofAS+81 3 6225Japan6402

Council on Social Security (NCSS). Implementation is expected from April 2027, arashi.nishizawa@bofa.com

following PM Takaichi’s final decision and approval at the extraordinary Diet session this Manabu Sumoge >>

autumn. Key details—including POS system upgrades, support for affected sectors, and ResearchBofAS JapanAnalyst

alternative funding sources—remain unresolved and will continue to be discussed. +81 3 6225 8855

manabu.sumoge@bofa.com

Impact on inflation and the economy IzumiJapan EconomistDevalier

The tax cut is expected to reduce headline CPI by around 1.3ppt from April 2027, while BofAS Japan

+81 3 6225 6257

the boost to GDP is likely to be limited to around 0.1–0.2ppt. The tax cut may partly ease izumi.devalier@bofa.com

the slowdown in food spending and the shift toward lower-priced products, supporting Daisuke Aikawa >>

consumption.