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China CITIC Bank (0998.HK/601998.SS, Not Covered) : Asia Financials Corporate Day Takeaways
研报英文原文证据摘录
China CITIC Bank (0998.HK/601998.SS, Not Covered) : Asia Financials Corporate Day Takeaways
Goldman Sachs
contraction of around 5 bps. The outlook for 2027 will depend on changes in the real
economy. There is an ongoing improvement of NIM, but a reversal has not yet been
seen.
2. Loan
n The second quarter is historically a slow season for lending. The overall situation
since 2Q26 has been in line with the bank’s expectations: the decline in corporate
lending was better than in previous years; retail lending is relatively weak, with
growth gradually slowing or even turning negative since 2H25.
n The company maintains the relatively cautious guidance of full year credit growth
from the beginning of the year: Rmb 300bn for corporate loans, with retail loan
growth adjusted dynamically based on demand.
n Significant credit demand has been released from “New Quality Productive Forces”
(e.g., semiconductors, AI, etc.), while both existing and new lending are concentrated
in traditional sectors such as commercial leasing services, water, electricity, and gas
utilities, and manufacturing.
n Retail loan pricing is stable; corporate loan pricing is under some downward
pressure, but the decline is more gradual than in previous years, depending on the
real economy and the low-interest-rate market environment.
3. Deposit
n More time deposit matured in 1H26, and the effect of lowering liability costs will
persist throughout the year, with some left to mature in 2027.
n The deposit structure is bifurcating: 1) There is still significant demand for time
deposits, such as 3-year term deposits, which remain an important asset allocation
choice for risk aversion clients; 2) A trend towards liquidity was seen among clients
with higher risk appetite, who prefer short-duration products.
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