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Ideaya Biosciences Inc. (IDYA): Taking stock of pipeline programs as daro advances to commercialization
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Ideaya Biosciences Inc. (IDYA): Taking stock of pipeline programs as daro advances to commercialization
Goldman Sachs Ideaya Biosciences Inc. (IDYA)
Evaluating the pipeline: near-term de-risking opportunities for ADC portfolio
Exhibit 1: Summary of clinical programs beyond darovasertib
GS estimates
Drug Study Event Indication Timing
(unadjusted)
Ph1 (Hengrui) Data update SCLC, NEC 2H26 $700M
IDE849 Ph1/2 Data update SCLC, NEC 2H26
Pivotal study Trial Initiation DLL3+ tumors YE26
IDE034 Ph1 (monotherapy) Ph1 update Solid tumors YE26
IDE397
Ph1 (combination) Trial Initiation Solid tumors 1Q26
IDE892 Ph1 (monotherapy) Trial Initiation NSCLC, PDAC mid-26
Ph1 (+ RG6505) Trial Initiation PDAC TBD
IDE574 Ph1 (monotherapy) Trial Initiation Solid tumors 1Q26
Source: Goldman Sach Global Investment Research, Company data
IDE849: DLL3 targeting antibody drug conjugate
We estimate peak sales of $700M for IDE849, currently in Ph2 development for SCLC
with potential for label expansion into other lines of therapy and NECs. Upcoming data
could incrementally de-risk the profile in 2H26, with durability of response in 2L the
focus of these data.
Background and mechanism of action
DLL3 is an established target for cancer therapy, particularly in the context of small cell
lung cancer where it is expressed at 80-85%; it is also expressed at similarly high rates in
neuroendocrine tumors (NECs). By contrast, DLL3 is expressed on a limited basis on
healthy tissues, primarily the brain and pituatary glands, making it an attractive target
for drug development with potential for a wide therapeutic index. However, we note
that the goal of therapies against this target is not to restore normal signaling, but rather
to use DLL3 as a homing device for drug delivery.
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