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Sandisk NDR with head of investor relations emphasizes Al demand drivers and enhanced margin durability
研报英文原文证据摘录
Sandisk NDR with head of investor relations emphasizes Al demand drivers and enhanced margin durability
UpdateMto that market if PC/mobile is softer.
The big picture view around demand destruction is that Sandisk believes some
legacy business models may need to adjust to a new normal around higher NAND
pricing, particularly where customers were marking up NAND 5-10x as normal
course of business.
The company continues to invest for mid- to high-teens bit growth, achieved
primarily through technology transitions. That's a forecast the company has had
for some time, and while they do acknowledge that the growth outlook in
datacenter has improved materially, mid- to high-teens is still what they view as
sustainable long term. With only "more than 1/3rd" of FY27 bits allocated under
NBMs, the company has a majority of bits available for any customers willing to
make longer term commitments, commitments that would give Sandisk the visibility
they need to contemplate a higher growth rate. But for now a higher level of growth
is not something the company is considering.
On the competitive landscape, management is not especially concerned about
Chinese competition given their restrictions. Sandisk has the view that as long as
YMTC is on the entity list, it will continue to be a 'China for China' story - and they
will serve a growing portion of that market over time. In the long run, they will
saturate that market, at which point Sandisk sees that creating a more bifurcated
market for NAND vs a cause of global oversupply. And in the interim, the NAND
market in China today is growing fast (although not as fast as ROW) and is
significantly undersupplied, giving YMTC a long runway for growth before those
limits start to have an effect.
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