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Raising earnings forecasts on lower crude oil prices; downgrade Bridgestone to Neutral from Buy as shares approach our TP
研报英文原文证据摘录
Raising earnings forecasts on lower crude oil prices; downgrade Bridgestone to Neutral from Buy as shares approach our TP
Equity Research
18 June 2026 | 7:04AM JST
JAPAN AUTOMOBILES: TIRE & RUBBER
Raising earnings forecasts on lower crude oil prices; downgrade
Bridgestone to Neutral from Buy as shares approach our TP
Upward revisions factoring in lower crude oil prices Kota Yuzawa
+81(3)4587-9863 |
Our commodities team revised its WTI price outlook as of June 15, following updates kota.yuzawa@gs.com
Goldman Sachs Japan Co., Ltd.
on the situation in the Middle East (Link), lowering its assumptions from $85/bbl to
Ken Kawamoto$80 for 2026, from $75 to $70 for 2027, and from $70 to $66 for 2028. We believe +81(3)4587-1921 |
that the stabilization of crude oil prices could lead to a boost in profits for tire ken.kawamoto@gs.comGoldman Sachs Japan Co., Ltd.
manufacturers through lower synthetic rubber prices. On the other hand, the price of
natural rubber, another major raw material, is on an upward trend. While we expect
stabilization in the medium term due to production increases in Cote d’Ivoire, we are
now revising our TSR20 assumption from 200¢/kg to 220¢/kg to factor in spot
prices. The four covered companies have factored Middle East risks into their
FY12/26 guidance and remain focused on achieving their initial plans through price
increases, the benefits of a weaker yen, and cost reductions. In response to the
downward revision of crude oil prices and the upward revision of natural rubber
prices, we have revised up our FY12/26-FY12/28 operating profit forecasts by an
average of 5%/2%/4%. Also, we downgrade Bridgestone to Neutral from Buy, as we
see limited upside potential following recent share performance. We continue to
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