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China Life Insurance Co. (2628.HK): Asia Financials Corporate Day Takeaways
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China Life Insurance Co. (2628.HK): Asia Financials Corporate Day Takeaways
Equity Research
16 June 2026 | 9:39PM HKT
China Life Insurance Co. (2628.HK): Asia Financials Corporate Day
Takeaways
Thomas Wang
+852-2978-1697 |
thomas.wang@gs.com
Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C.
Simone Chen
+852-2978-0619 |
simone.chen@gs.com
Bottom line: We hosted China Life IR team and managements from the investment,
actuarial and finance teams at our Asia Financials Corporate Day. Investor questions
focused on sales outlook, potential growth and disruption in the bancassurance
channel, investment, and dividends. China Life reiterated its double-digit FY26 VONB
growth target and highlighted its competitive advantages in the bancassurance
channel. Investment result has recovered with the equity market in 2Q26. For
investors that were concerned about the base effect in 3Q, China Life noted that
focus should be on FY profit, especially given a low base in 4Q. Management will also
try to reduce volatility in DPS.
We rate China Life H/A at Neutral/Neutral. Our 12-month, ROA-based target prices
are HK$28.5/Rmb42.0, implying 1.0X/1.7X FY27E P/B.
Key takeaways:
n VONB growth: China Life attributed the strong 1Q growth (+75% yoy) to higher
mix of long premium-term policies (vs. 1Q25) and a strong jump-start sales
campaign. Looking ahead, VONB growth is likely to decline in coming quarters,
mainly due to higher base effect. There has been no change in customer demand.
Encouragingly, strong growth momentum in the agency channel in 1Q has
continued into 2Q. Because of the good result achieved in 1Q, agents are able to
focus on protection product sales in 2Q. In addition, China Life believes insurance
demand could improve together with market sentiment, and a strong equity
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