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North America Midstream & Energy Infrastructure: Midstream Sound Bites: You‘re Irreplaceable
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North America Midstream & Energy Infrastructure: Midstream Sound Bites: You‘re Irreplaceable
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17 Jun 2026 00:00:00 ET │ 9 pages
North America Midstream & Energy Infrastructure
Midstream Sound Bites: You’re Irreplaceable
CITI’S TAKE
In this edition of Midstream Sound Bites, we’re taking a look at the cost to
replace all ~200k miles of US interstate natgas pipelines. It’s a common
and recurring topic among investors. While a very theoretical analysis
(replacing the entire system is not realistic), the aim is to highlight the
value of assets in the ground. After analyzing >1mm data points including Spiro DounisAC
pipeline mileage and diameters across the US, we estimate the cost to +1-212-816-6926
replace the entire network is over $1 trillion. Within our coverage, DTM, spiro.dounis@citi.com
ENB, ET, KMI, TRP, and WMB account for ~2/3 of this value. Interestingly,
Douglas Irwin
this replacement cost equates to >90% of the combined enterprise value
+1-212-816-9525
for these companies and leaves very little value attribution for all their douglas.irwin@citi.com
other assets. Using replacement cost as a reference point implies over two
turns of EV/EBITDA upside from current levels to value criticality of that Charles Bryant
pipe in the ground. +1-212-816-3284
charles.bryant@citi.com
It’s Going to Cost You. We conservatively estimate the cost to replace the entire US
interstate natural gas pipeline network to be over $1 trillion, which does not include
storage, gathering, distribution, or intrastate pipelines. On average, we valued the
network at ~$240k per inch-mile based on recently announced greenfield projects
and some added costs for Northeast pipelines given the terrain and challenged
history.
More than the Enterprise Value in Some Cases.
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