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Chinese Internet Data Centre Sector: APAC Focus: at the cusp of demand inflection
研报英文原文证据摘录
Chinese Internet Data Centre Sector: APAC Focus: at the cusp of demand inflection
Chinese Internet Data Centre Sector UBS Research
more visibility - raising industry forecasts
Infrastructure well-prepared to unpin AI demand
We lift China data center industry forecasts due to strong downstream token
demand and domestic GPU ramp-up: We lift our forecasts for net adds in IT power
utilized by 4/25/22% to 4.0/5.8/6.7GW for 2026-28E, with total IT power utilized to
reach 31GW in 2028E. China’s AI capex cycle accelerated meaningfully starting 2H24,
driving faster data center utilization ramp-up. Momentum moderated in 2H25 (but
remained resilient) due to high-end compute supply constraints following the US export
restrictions. Looking ahead, we expect deployments to reaccelerate starting 2H26,
supported by robust AI demand and the ramp-up of domestic GPUs. We view 2026 as a
transition year, with full-year utilization net additions slightly better than 2025. In 2027,
as domestic GPU capacity scales, coupled with a well-prepared nationwide power and
telecom infrastructure, data center deployments should accelerate meaningfully.
Figure 2: We lift IDC industry utilization forecasts Figure 3: IT power utilized net adds held up despite US chip
restrictions
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Source: MIIT, UBS estimates, UBS Evidence Lab, includes content supplied by S&P Source: UBS Evidence Lab, includes content supplied by S&P Global; Copyright ©
Global; Copyright © S&P Global Market Intelligence 2026. All rights reserved. (> S&P Global Market Intelligence 2026. All rights reserved. (> Access Dataset)
Access Dataset)
China's unique advantage in IDC rollout compared globally – infrastructure:
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