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The European Credit Strategist: The peace trade
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The European Credit Strategist: The peace trade
the front-end
of the Euro yield curve remains steep, we see little chance of ECB hikes “breaking” the HY Strategy: HYer for longer
credit market. Retail investors should continue to see tantalising opportunities moving
Tech makes the world go round
out of “cash”, and into the corporate bond market. Inflows will continue apace.
CreditBook: American Fever
Hello, world!
The future is bright. Hyperscalers, data centers, renewables, defense spending…the list Hikes…can take a hike
goes on of capex-driven debt financing needs. This should propel credit markets to even Credit Investor Survey: All things
greater sizes over the years ahead. More than ever before, companies will need to lean private
on all global bond markets for issuance avenues. Primary records have already been
broken in the Canadian Dollar, Swiss Franc and £ credit markets in ‘26. Looking ahead, If you like it bubbly…
investors’ relative value opportunity set has arguably never been greater (chart 18).
Peace out, risk on
Hyping it up CreditBook: Is it all over?
For many years, sub financials offered investors some of the best beta in the credit
market. But things change. Today, sub fins beta is close to a decade low, reflecting the Deal or no deal?
much-improved fundamentals of the sector. What’s taking its place? Hyperscaler debt is
Who let the hawks out?starting to offer investors some impressive beta, especially in light of the sector’s high
single-A ratings. Spreads remain conspicuously cheap versus the rest of the market. Audio discussion: Can we keep it
private?
A final look at Q1 ’26 fundamentals
EBITDA was down 0.2% QoQ, BBB leverage ticked-up, but margins improved (page 7). Strait talking
Can credit and oil mix?
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