普通外文研报
现代百货:2Q26:再次受Zinus拖累
研报英文原文证据摘录
M
Update
August 5, 2026 12:32 PM GMT
Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc, Seoul Branch+
Hyundai Department Store | Asia Pacific
Kelly H Kim, CFA
Equity Analyst
2Q26: drag from Zinus again
Jenna Lee
Equity Analyst
What’s Changed
Hyundai Department Store (069960.KS)
From
To
Price Target
W205,000
W162,000
AlphaSignals Earnings Reaction
Unchanged
Modest shortfall
Largely unchanged
Hyundai Department Store (069960.KS, 069960 KP)
Impact to our thesis
Financial results versus consensus
Direction of next 12-month
consensus EPS
S. Korea Consumer | S. Korea
Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research
Considering US tariff refund of W14bn, Zinus losses look to still
be weighing on YoY earnings improvement. Department store
OPM was slightly lower than we thought, but strong sales led
fast OP growth, up 59% YoY. We trim our 2026-28 EPS
estimates (3-7%) – but cut our price target 21%, to W162,000.
Key Takeaways
Department store SSSG was 16% YoY, similar to our estimate. July SSSG
remained resilient at 10%. Given higher comp, HDS saw little evidence of demand
slowdown.
HDS suggested SSSG targets of 10% for 3Q26 and mid-single digits for 4Q26 – 23ppt below our previous assumptions.
Foreign spending has accelerated, up 66% YoY on average, reaching 8% of
department store sales (vs. 6% in 1Q26) and 9% in July (up 86% YoY).
Widening underlying loss QoQ of Zinus could remain a key concern, although the
CFO maintained 2H guidance (loss of >W10bn in 3Q26 and break-even in 4Q26).
Stock Rating
Industry View
Price target
Up/downside to price target (%)
Shr price, close (Aug 5, 2026)
52-Week Range
Sh out, dil, curr (mn)
Mkt cap, curr (bn)
EV, curr (bn)
Avg daily trading value (bn)
Overweight
In-Line
W162,000
47
W110,100
W222,000-68,400
23
W2,491
W4,296
W13
Fiscal Year Ending
12/25 12/26e 12/27e 12/28e
EPS (W)**
Prior EPS (W)**
Revenue, net (W bn)
EBITDA (W bn)
ModelWare net inc (W
bn)
P/E
P/BV
RNOA (%)
ROE (%)
EV/EBITDA
Div yld (%)
FCF yld ratio (%)
Leverage (EOP) (%)
12,616 14,648 17,286 18,833
- 15,260 17,809 20,336
9,871 10,033 10,646 10,968
680
712
830
876
443
313
369
402
4.5
0.4
4.3
10.1
5.6
2.4
19.8
2.9
7.7
0.5
5.2
6.9
6.1
2.3
(1.2)
4.4
6.4
0.5
6.3
7.7
5.3
3.2
3.5
5.8
0.4
6.5
…
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