普通外文研报
Siemens Energy AG:3Q26业绩:符合预期。燃气轮机利润率跃升是亮点
研报英文原文证据摘录
M
Update
August 5, 2026 06:48 AM GMT
Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc+
Siemens Energy AG | Europe
Max R Yates
Equity Analyst
3Q26 results: Checking the
boxes. Step-change in Gas
margins is the stand-out
AlphaSignals Earnings Reaction
Strengthens our thesis
Meaningful upside
Modest revision higher
Impact to our thesis
Financial results versus consensus
Direction of next 12-month
consensus EPS
Sara Chemello
Research Associate
Siemens Energy AG (ENR1n.DE, ENR GY)
Capital Goods | Germany
Stock Rating
Industry View
Price target
Shr price, close (Aug 4, 2026)
52-Week Range
Mkt cap, curr (mn)
Net debt (09/26e) (mn)*
EV, curr (mn)*
Overweight
In-Line
€200.00
€150.86
€191.66-83.32
€109,622
€(7,524)
€105,206
Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research
* = GAAP or approximated based on GAAP
Key Takeaways
Strong results. Orders were a 7% beat, and EBITA 18% ahead. Strong Gas orders
and margins. FY guide unchanged at 10-12% margin (expect upper end). C'sus at
12%.
Stand-out for us is Gas margins at 17.3%, up QoQ when 3Q is typically weaker
QoQ. Aftermarket returns to growth. The peak margin will be higher than
expected.
Gas services dynamics. Customer commitments at 95GW in line with
expectations. Also encouraging that there are no further ENR capacity additions.
One softer area is Grid orders, which were slightly below consensus. Even
accounting for no large orders, there looks to have been a small step-down QoQ.
Focus now shifts to 11th Nov new 2030 targets. We stay OW with valuation
undemanding at 12.1x 2027e EV/EBITA, small discount to Cap Goods.
Conclusion. Overall a strong set of numbers, and we think these should be
enough to see the shares outperform by a mid-single-digit percentage this
morning. We had previously seen 3Q26 as more of quarter of 'checking the boxes'
before the focus shifted to the new 2030 targets on 11th November. We also think
there had been some debate on whether Siemens Energy would decide to add
further capacity (after GEV's capacity additions announced this quarter). We think
the market will take it as a positive this morning that ENR has not decided to make
any incremental capacity additions.
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