普通外文研报
山德士集团:2026年上半年:第二季度/上半年符合预期,指引重申
研报英文原文证据摘录
M
Update
August 5, 2026 05:54 AM GMT
Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc+
Sandoz Group AG | Europe
Thibault Boutherin
Equity Analyst
H1'26: Q2 / H1 in line, guidance
reiterated
Sarita Kapila
Equity Analyst
Adithya Venkat
Research Associate
AlphaSignals Earnings Reaction
Sandoz Group AG (SDZ.S, SDZ SW)
Unchanged
In-line
Largely unchanged
Impact to our thesis
Financial results versus consensus
Direction of next 12-month
consensus EPS
Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research
Key Takeaways
We expect Sandoz shares to be in line, with Q2 sales in line and FY26 guidance
reiterated
Pharmaceuticals | Switzerland
Stock Rating
Industry View
Price target
Shr price, close (Aug 4, 2026)
52-Week Range
Mkt cap, curr (mn)
Net debt (12/26e) (mn)*
EV, curr (mn)*
Underweight
In-Line
SFr 55.00
SFr 64.26
SFr 74.72- 43.86
US$34,756
US$2,987
US$38,332
* = GAAP or approximated based on GAAP
FY26 guidance confirmed, with slightly worse FX. Consensus is in line so we do
not expect consensus revisions on the back of the guidance
Next key catalyst is the CMD on 8 September 2026, with potential for mid-term
target updates
Q2'26/H1'26 takeaways: Q2'26 sales in line with consensus (although organic
growth was better at 7% vs. cons. 5.9%), core EBITDA in line (margin 20.9% vs. cons.
21.0%) and core EPS 1% below. Biosimilars grew +22% CC in Q2 driven by
denosumab in US and Europe, and bEylea in Europe. Biosimilars represented 33% of
sales in Q2'26. Generics grew +1% CC in Q2'26, with limited impact from penicillin
API China competition, although some impact is expected in Q3'26.
FY26 guidance reiterated despite worsening pricing environment: Sandoz is
guiding for FY26 sales to grow by mid-to-high single digits at CC (cons. 6.6%) and
core EBITDA margin expansion of 100bps vs. 21.7% in 2025 (implies ~22.7% vs. cons.
22.7%). No material contribution from GLP-1 generics in 2026 assumed in the
guidance. Pricing assumption now expected to be -MSD% in 2026 (was -LSD% to MSD% before); the change is related in part to the short-term market dynamics in
Germany. The FX impact is now expected to be +2% on sales / no impact on margins
(vs. +4% on sales before).…
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