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TMT Credit Research: AVGO Credit: TPUs, Take Two?
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Update
August 5, 2026 02:28 AM GMT
TMT Credit Research | North America
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC
Lindsay A Tyler
Credit Analyst
AVGO Credit: TPUs, Take Two?
Morgan Stanley is acting as advisor to
What's new: Bloomberg reported August 4th that BX has held early discussions to
Broadcom Inc. (“Broadcom”), in connection with
gauge interest in a second TPU-financing tranche for an unrated AI lab, similar or
its establishment of the AI XPV Platform with
greater in size relative to the ~$35bn first tranche. We are not aware of a deal and
Apollo and Blackstone Credit & Insurance
representatives declined to comment. Still, the report is unsurprising given AVGO’s
Business as initial anchor investors, as
recently announced AI XPV platform with Apollo and Blackstone, intended to
announced on June 9, 2026. Broadcom has
enable >20GW of compute capacity using AVGO XPUs and networking solutions
agreed to pay fees to Morgan Stanley for its
through 2028.
financial services. Please refer to the notes at the
Read-through for AVGO credit — wider spreads, but tail risk still tempers
end of the report.
appeal: Given the initial tranche was described as scalable, we think a second could
also potentially feature residual-value support, reinforcing our view that the AI XPV
platform introduces meaningful contingent balance-sheet risk. While such
obligations may not be treated as economic liabilities nor fully reflected in adjusted
leverage, the potential exposure remains substantial. If a second tranche and the
remaining implied ~17GW platform resemble the first tranche, AVGO’s theoretical
maximum supported exposure could surpass ~$300bn. (Note the ~$480bn high end
of our prior range now appears punitive following APCHIP amortization disclosures.)
We had closed our AVGO bond buy recommendations on these concerns. Since
June-end, AVGO 10Y bonds have widened ~25bp ( Exhibit 1 ) and are now in-line with
the BBB index, which we still do not view as a compelling re-entry point. Residual
tail risk should continue to limit spread compression, particularly with Aa1/AA rated
NVDA trading only ~20bp tighter. Meanwhile, AVGO's ~20-30bp pickup to ~AA
…
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