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Are You Not Entertained?
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Are You Not Entertained?
Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
ASML Holding NV (ASML.AS)
EQUITY RESEARCH Company Update
July 15, 2026
Are You Not Entertained? Price: €1,555.80
Price Target: €2,500.00 ASML delivered the goods this morning with 2Q results coming in better
Rating: Overweight than expected (driven by a significantly better Installed base and marginally
Key Statistics: better EUV and KrF/ArF), followed by a robust raise on both 3Q and CY26
Symbol AEX: ASML.AS numbers. The 3Q guidance midpoint of €11.5B came in well ahead of
52-Week Range 587.80 - 1,741.00 consensus of €10.2B and when coupled with a significant step-up in gross
Market Cap 603,880.2 margins (56.0% mdpt. vs. cons 53.3%) and sustained operating leverage ADV (3 mo) 699,701
(Opex guide only +€20M Q/Q) results in an implied EPS guide nearly Shares Out (M) 388.1
30% ahead of consensus heading into today. Further, ASML raised its
CY26 revenue guide to now represent 35% growth at the midpoint (from Research Analysts:
16%) led by robust visibility from customers for EUV/Immersion as well as C.J. Muse
212-915-1935 Installed base strength (guided to grow 30%+ in CY26). With this increase
CJ.Muse@cantor.com in visibility comes an increase in ASML's Low-NA EUV shipment forecast
Nick Monroe to 65 tools (from 60) and plans to ship 130 Immersion tools in CY26. 212-829-5456
Nick.Monroe@cantor.com The gross margin outlook also saw a significant raise, with CY26 gross
Matthew Prisco margins now expected to be in the 54-56% range (from 51-53%), driven
212-610-2416 by improved upgrade business and higher tool volumes (we continue to
Matthew.Prisco@cantor.com point to GMs/incremental OMs as key catalyst for shares ahead). Looking
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