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Slim Carry On These Wayward Funds...
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Slim Carry On These Wayward Funds...
Financials | Brokers, Banks & Asset Managers
July 13, 2026
Glenn Schorr, CFA Slim Carry On These Wayward Funds...
212-653-9045 “…There’ll be exits when you are done.”
glenn.schorr@evercoreisi.com
Benjamin Rubin, CFA, CPA Cringy lyrical references aside, Kansas’ hit single speaks to one of
646-551-8502 the big questions for the alternative asset managers heading into
Benjamin.Rubin@evercoreisi.com 2Q earnings: Carried Interest. We expect 2Q will be another slow
John Dunn quarter for carry realizations with mgmt. teams pointing to 2H26 and
212-446-9455
2027 for an acceleration in exit activity. This, in turn, is driving an John.Dunn@EvercoreISI.com
even steeper ramp in PRE (performance-related earnings) to meet Matthew Lyons, CFA
212-336-1709 Street estimates, which has net performance fees for the alts
matthew.lyons@evercoreISI.com growing at a 40% CAGR through 2027. And while the alts have
Sam Wardlow underperformed other capital market names to date, we believe
212-653-9019 they’ll have to wait another quarter or two before estimates begin
sam.wardlow@evercoreisi.com increasing and they can lay their weary heads to rest, as several
_ near-term headwinds linger including quiet credit deployment,
sluggish (but improving) insurance sales, and elevated private
credit redemptions. Until they can rise above the noise and
confusion, the alts will have to “carry on”.
Browsing the Clearance Rack. Multiples across the alts remain
cheap, with the group multiple on ‘27 numbers currently at 12x (a
35% discount to their 3-yr avg). For context, traditional asset
managers, whose industry fundamentals remain under pressure,
trade at 10x, leaving their discount to the alts at its narrowest level
in several years.
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