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Asyad Shipping H1’26 First Take: A mixed bag, yet tracking in-line with FY expectations
研报英文原文证据摘录
Asyad Shipping H1’26 First Take: A mixed bag, yet tracking in-line with FY expectations
J P M O R G A N CEEMEA Equity Research
15 July 2026
Asyad Shipping Underweight
ASCO.OM, ASCO OM
H1’26 First Take: A mixed bag, yet tracking in-line with Price (14 Jul 26):RO0.281
FY expectations Price Target (Dec-27):RO0.227
Our Take: Earlier this morning, ASC released its initial unaudited H1’26 financial MENA Industrials
ACresults, with headline Q2 EBITDA recording an avg 8% miss vs BBG consensus Anna Antonova, CFA
and our forecasts, yet net profit beating expectations by on avg 10% (likely partly (971) 4428-1766
driven by recorded gains from vessel sales). That said, group H1 EBITDA/net anna.antonova@jpmorgan.com
income is tracking at a robust avg 46%/57% of FY’26E JPMe/BBG consensus J.P. Morgan Securities plc
forecasts, with profitability trends also generally falling in line with expectations
(e.g. H1 EBITDA/net income margin at 65%/23%). In the earnings press release,
ASC commented that despite continued geopolitical uncertainty, it has benefited
from positive market conditions across its key shipping segments. Limited further
details were disclosed at this stage, with a fuller update and management
presentation expected later in August. On our numbers, ASC (UW) shares trade at
a premium vs global shipping peers, so we prefer ADNOC L&S (OW) on a relative
basis. The ongoing uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict (with risks
recently escalating) gives rise to a supportive freight rates environment, which in
turn may present upside risks to H2/FY’26 earnings for the Shipping sector, in our
view.
• Noteworthy Areas: 1) Group H1’26 gross revenue recorded +5% YoY. ASC
maintained strong revenue levels despite the expiry of certain LNG contracts
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