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DASH: 2Q:26 EPS Preview: Unlikely a Clearing Event on Core GOV Growth & '27 Margins
研报英文原文证据摘录
DASH: 2Q:26 EPS Preview: Unlikely a Clearing Event on Core GOV Growth & '27 Margins
e core order growth +16.5% y/y in 2Q, despite 170bps tougher
comps, given weather (~100bps), exiting 4 int'l markets & product testing headwinds EBITDA (MM)
in 1Q, forecast 2H:26 order growth remains stable on 2yr stack. See core order 2yr 2026E 754.0 A 832.0 E 994.2 E 1.04B E 3.62B E
growth as key focus on the print, given 4pt deceleration in 1Q:26. Believe core US Prior NC 819.6 E 1.01B E 1.04B E 3.62B E
restaurant and Wolt order growth is largely stable, while grocery (+36% y/y) remains a 2027E 1.03B E 1.12B E 1.26B E 1.30B E 4.71B E
tailwind. Expect core AOV strength to moderate through '26 from the +7% y/y in 1Q. Prior 1.05B E 1.12B E 1.27B E 1.30B E 4.75B E
Source: Company Data, Wells Fargo Securities estimates, and Factset.
NA = Not Available, NC = No Change, NE = No Estimate
Believe uncertainty around magnitude of '27 incremental EBITDA margin
improvement likely remains an overhang. Do not expect mgmt color until at least 3Q Ken Gawrelski
call. Expect DASH to reiterate expectations for an improvement in 2H:26 incremental Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
margins (vs 1H:26). See progress on tech replatforming remaining on schedule and look Ken.Gawrelski@wellsfargo.com | 617-210-3707
for color on early implications on product launch velocity and tailwinds to GOV growth. Zachary Morrissey
Consensus 2027 estimates already reflect incremental EBITDA margins of 4.8%. Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Zachary.Morrissey@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-5344
David UmanskyEstimates, rating and price target. Hold total orders ~unch across FY26 / FY27 / FY28
(3.9B / 4.4B / 4.9B).
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