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Space Exploration Technologies Corp "Ad Astra Per Aspera*; Initiate with a..."
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Space Exploration Technologies Corp "Ad Astra Per Aspera*; Initiate with a..."
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Initiation of Coverage
EquitiesSpace Exploration Technologies Corp
Ad Astra Per Aspera*; Initiate with a Buy rating United States
Communications Technology
12-month rating Buy
Starship should unlock a TAM estimated at nearly $30T as AI ramps Prior : No Rating
We are initiating coverage of SpaceX with a Buy rating and price target of $210. We 12m price target US$210.00
view SpaceX as an unparalleled set of assets with a multifaceted return profile and Prior :
multiple drivers of upside for long term, risk tolerant investors. Starship - the most
Price (06 Jul 2026) US$160.91
advanced heavy-lift, re-usable rocket - is the foundational technology that unlocks
opportunities in launch, communications and AI compute creating a total addressable RIC: SPCX.O BBG: SPCX US
market nearing $30T. Starship would effectively give SpaceX commercial control over Trading data and key metrics
access to space for the next decade, and we expect revenues/EBITDA to grow at a
52-wk range US$201.80-153.00
~70%/90% CAGR through '31 to $660B/$512B as opportunities in AI and connectivity
Market cap. US$2,117b
scale and rapid reusability drives the launch cost per kilogram to just $200 from $1K
Shares o/s 13,159m (COM)
currently ($50K for the space shuttle). While not in our base case, SpaceX is uniquely
positioned to exploit off planet business models as they emerge, providing investors a Free float 5%
call option as Elon Musk looks to fulfill his vision of making life multiplanetary. Avg. daily volume ('000) 166,958
Avg. daily value (m) US$28,916.4
A series of attractive near- and long-term catalysts Common s/h equity (12/26E) US$135b
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