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Gaming, Lodging and Real Estate: TWA #27/2026: Opportunities Beyond Tech
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Gaming, Lodging and Real Estate: TWA #27/2026: Opportunities Beyond Tech
Idea
July 5, 2026 08:13 PM GMT
Morgan Stanley Asia Limited+MGaming, Lodging and Real Estate | Asia Pacific Praveen K Choudhary
Equity Analyst
TWA #27/2026: Opportunities Praveen.Choudhary@morganstanley.comDan Chee +852 2848-5068
Dan.Chee@morganstanley.com +852 2239-1227
Beyond Tech Morgan Stanley India Company Private Limited+
Monica Dasoju
HK property fundamentals (price/rent) are strong, and less Equity Analyst
Monica.Sharma@morganstanley.com +91 22 6118-1154
perceived risk of a Fed hike could help as well. Similarly, India
Morgan Stanley Asia Limited+
developers and mall operators are seeing upticks with higher Anson Lee, CFA
beta on the Sensex, which is benefitting from lower oil prices. Research Associate
Anson.Lee@morganstanley.com +852 2239-7435
We highlight key investor debates.
Although HK fundamentals (price/rent) remain robust, much of the cyclical
upturn appears to be in the price. We expect 1HF26 earnings to be weak. We believe
relative outperformance will be driven by companies taking "value up" initiatives.
We rank Swire Properties, Link REIT and Jardine ahead of CKH, CKA and SHKP. The Hong Kong/China Multi-Industry
market continues to attribute weaker Macau GGR to the impact of the World Cup, Asia Pacific
Industry View In-Line
but we think other issues (weaker macro and competition) are keeping things at bay
Hong Kong/Macau Gaming
despite very attractive valuations. We see more downside to consensus EBITDA Asia Pacific
forecasts for 2026. We expect India developers and mall operators to report strong Industry View In-Line
ASEAN Gaming
sales (and pre-sales) in 1QF27. Asia Pacific
Industry View Cautious
Why read this note? We answer these relevant questions: Hong Kong Property
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