Updating Our CRC Screening Market Model (GH)

研报英文原文证据摘录

Updating Our CRC Screening Market Model (GH)

Diagnostics & Life Sciences Tools June 30, 2026

Subbu Nambi, Ph.D.

subbu.nambi@guggenheimpartners.com Updating Our CRC Screening Market Model (GH)

617 874 7383

Ricki Levitus Key Message: We provide an update to our proprietary TAM build for the CRC Screening

ricki.levitus@guggenheimpartners.com market in the U.S. Our two key conclusions about the non-invasive CRC screening 212 823 6556

market remain that: (1) We believe BOTH stool-based and blood-based CRC screening

Thomas VonDerVellen volumes can grow over the next 5 years, and (2) There is room for more than one blood-

thomas.vondervellen@guggenheimpartners.com based test to screen patients in the large, unscreened population.

617 859 4657

What's New?

We have updated the model to reflect our latest GH Shield estimates. •

Ticker Price Rating

GH 153.74 Buy CRC Screening Market TAM Model Overview

We built a model to size the total CRC screening market across test types and indications.

Given the population is consistently growing, each year represents the total patient

population at that point in time, and the patients being screened by existing guidelines;

'recommended method' represents the patients who are considered up-to-date with that

screening method.

Market Model Build: Inputs & Assumptions

We size the U.S. average-risk TAM of patients aged 45 to 85, the • Model Inputs:

indicated age group for CRC screening, using U.S. Census data and the generally

accepted split of 88% average-risk, 12% high-risk patients. We assume consistent total

population and Medicare-aged population growth based on historical trends. We measure

the number of average-risk patients who are screened by colonoscopy (or other similar

direct visualization tests) by starting with the U.S.