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SIMPAR & Subsidiaries Downgrading SIMH to Neutral on Holding Discount; JSLG Preferred Within the Group
研报英文原文证据摘录
SIMPAR & Subsidiaries Downgrading SIMH to Neutral on Holding Discount; JSLG Preferred Within the Group
J P M O R G A N Latin America Equity Research
02 July 2026
SIMPAR & Subsidiaries
Downgrading SIMH to Neutral on Holding Discount;
JSLG Preferred Within the Group
We are updating our estimates for SIMPAR (SIMH3, N) and its listed subsidiaries Latin American Transportation
ACMovida (MOVI3, N), VAMOS (VAMO3, OW), and JSL (JSLG3, OW), following Guilherme Mendes
Movida’s removal from restriction, the incorporation of J.P. Morgan's latest (55-11) 4950-4105
macroeconomic assumptions, and their respective capital increases. We take this guilherme.g.mendes@jpmorgan.com
opportunity to downgrade SIMPAR to Neutral (from Overweight) on valuation Julia Orsi
grounds, as its holding discount currently stands at 10% — below both our model's (55-11) 4950 3351
fair value estimate of 25% and the historical average of approximately 20%. While julia.orsi@jpmorgan.com
Banco J.P. Morgan S.A.
we acknowledge management's efforts to reduce leverage at the holding level —
R$1.2 billion post capital injection, down from R$4.0 billion in mid-2023 — we
believe that additional initiatives, such as a potential sale of the CS Infra Ports
division, are likely to yield only modest benefits, and may not be sufficient to
justify the current holding discount, in our view.
On a bottom-up basis, we observe marginal improvements in operating trends
across the group, gradually translating into results and supporting a steady
deleveraging process. That said, the macroeconomic backdrop remains a
headwind: uncertainty around potentially slower-than-expected interest rate cuts
has increased, while Brazil's October elections are likely to begin weighing on
market sentiment.
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