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Cintas: Routes rolling but degree of 4Q26 upside could be limited, expect inline ’27 guide
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Cintas: Routes rolling but degree of 4Q26 upside could be limited, expect inline ’27 guide
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Cintas
Routes rolling but degree of 4Q26 upside
could be limited, expect inline ’27 guide
Reiterate Rating: NEUTRAL | PO: 200.00 USD | Price: 171.90 USD
29 June 2026
Routes running but degree of 4Q upside could be limited Equity
We expect Cintas to report fiscal 4Q26 on 7/16 BMO. We estimate 4Q total revenue/adj.
EPS of $2.89bn/$1.24, versus the Street at $2.87bn/$1.24mn (see ex. 1) and guide at
the midpoint of $2.87bn/$1.22. We expect investor focus on: 1) incremental commentary Key Changes
on the UniFirst transaction; 2) the degree of margin pressure from higher fuel/inflation (US$) Previous Current
and offsetting mitigation efforts (we think inline relative to guide) and; 3) cross-sell Price Obj. 215.00 200.00
momentum and new customer conversion trends in the context of a more volatile macro
and tougher comparisons in 4Q. Overall, we view the setup into the print as balanced. Curtis Nagle, CFA
Cintas runs one of the most consistent operating models in our coverage with a strong Research Analyst
BofAS
beat and raise track record (see ex. 2). However, for 4Q we think the degree of potential +1 646 855 2939
revenue upside could be limited by the aforementioned factors. We reiterate Neutral but c.nagle@bofa.com
lower our PO to $200 on 37x EPS (from $215 on 40x), inline with the 5yr avg of 36x. Ryan Rivera Research Analyst
Thoughts on FY27 guide: expect inline range w/ Street BofASryan.rivera4@bofa.com
Street ests for FY27 revenue imply 7.4% y/y growth and incremental op. profit margins
of 29%, consistent with the midpoint of Cintas’ LT framework of MSD-HSD revenue
growth and 25-35% incremental margins. We expect FY27 revenue guide to bracket the
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