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First Principles - AI Power Infrastructure Following the Power
研报英文原文证据摘录
First Principles - AI Power Infrastructure Following the Power
J P M O R G A N Europe Equity Research
25 June 2026
First Principles - AI Power
Infrastructure
Following the Power
AI is creating a structural, multi-year demand cycle for power semiconductors driven European Tech Hardware &
by 1) massive grid/ micro-grid investments to feed AI data centers, and 2) the need for Payments
more efficient power conversion inside the data center, from AC-DC front-end Sandeep Deshpande AC
conversion to point-of-load at the GPU. Both vectors demand advanced power (44-20) 7134-5276
semiconductor content such as silicon carbide (SiC), gallium nitride (GaN), next- sandeep.s.deshpande@jpmorgan.com
generation MOSFETs, and intelligent power modules. This note discusses the AI J.P. Morgan Securities plc
power semiconductor market, the upcoming architectural shifts in the market, the Anthony Girard
opportunities from the shifts and the key players. (44-20) 3493-6469
anthony.girard@jpmorgan.com
• We forecast market to have 3-year CAGR growth of ~82% to 2028: Based J.P. Morgan Securities plc
on JP Morgan forecasts of up to 80GW of new AI data center capacity to be Craig A McDowell
installed in 2028 (vs. ~60GW in 2027) we size the AI power semiconductor (44-20) 7742-4576
craig.mcdowell@jpmorgan.com
market to be ~$16bn in 2028, with upside to $20bn+ under stronger content/ J.P. Morgan Securities plc
compute addition assumptions from our calculation of ‘25 market size of US Semiconductors &
$2.7bn. Semiconductor Capital Equipment /
• 800V DC architectural shift will significantly increase semiconductor IT Hardware
content: The data center mkt is moving to 800V high-voltage DC distribution Harlan Sur
to reduce current, copper usage, and power losses. Today’s architecture chains (1-415) 315-6700
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